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01 · UNDERSTAND

LIFE WITH AI · THE BIGGER PICTURE

The future, with
people at its centre.

AIm separates present evidence from forecasts and policy choices, so you can understand what is changing, who may be affected and where people still have agency.

Start with the news, then explore life, learning, trust or work. Your knowledge level shapes the explanation; original sources and deeper research stay available.

01 · WHAT’S CHANGING

Small updates. A bigger picture.

Life, learning, creativity, work and trust—explained at your level. Your full briefing →

LearningLIFE & LEARNING
OpenAI · 7 October 2026Company announcement

Turn study notes into practice—not just answers

Teen learners can use new flashcards to practise recalling ideas. Easier note capture can help prepare material, but generated answers still need checking.

CreativityLIFE & LEARNING
Adobe · 5 October 2026Company announcement

Make a small creative project, not just an AI picture

Adobe has published a guided trading-card activity for students. It gives learners a small project with a clear subject and space for their own design choices.

Work & moneyWORK & MONEY
Microsoft · 9 October 2026Company announcement

An AI draft can now become an editable Office file in the same app

Microsoft is bringing document, spreadsheet and slide editing into Copilot for its Frontier early-access customers. You can correct an AI draft yourself instead of accepting the first answer.

Everyday lifeLIFE & LEARNING
Google · 8 October 2026Company announcement

Ask Maps for places that fit what you want

Google published guidance on using everyday questions to find places with Ask Maps. Treat the answer as a shortlist and confirm the practical details yourself.

02 · WHAT IT MEANS FOR YOU

Choose what matters to you.

One question at a time. Practical guidance, not predictions.

LIFE & LEARNING

How do we keep learning for ourselves?

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AI can explain and suggest, but understanding means being able to explain an idea in your own words. Ask for a hint, try the problem yourself, then check the answer.

Build one useful skill →
TRUST & SAFETY

What can we trust online?

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A convincing image, voice or answer is not proof. Find the original source and check important claims independently. Keep personal information out of unfamiliar tools.

Explore trust and safety news →
EVERYDAY LIFE & CREATIVITY

Can AI make room for what matters?

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Try help with a plan, first draft or creative idea. Keep your own choices and voice. A useful tool should save effort without quietly taking over decisions you want to make.

Try a small everyday task →
WORK & INCOME

Where should I start with my work?

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Start with one task, not a prediction about your whole career. Notice what AI can help with, what still needs your judgement and what your employer allows.

Explore work and career guidance →
03 · OPTIONAL DEPTH

Explore the evidence

Work, income, human control and possible futures. Open only what interests you.

Future of Work

TWO DIFFERENT KINDS OF CHANGE

From legal drafts to physical tasks.

AI software can change writing, analysis, coding and design. Robots affect physical tasks. Explore both without treating different research measures as one ranking of jobs in danger.

EXPLORE WORK & AI

How could your work change?

Yes—knowledge work is changing too.

Lawyers, designers and programmers can have substantial exposure to AI software without a high robot score. The useful question is which tasks change, and what people remain responsible for?

10 roles · AIm task-level guidance, not a ranking of jobs in danger

Professional services

Lawyers & legal professionals

Document review, research assistance and first drafts can be partly automated. Routine drafting may take less time.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Checking authorities and facts, understanding the client, confidentiality and professional judgement remain essential.

One useful next step

Try a non-confidential drafting task. Verify every citation against the original source.

ABA · professional guidance · 29 July 2024 ↗
Creative work

Graphic designers

AI can generate visual directions and variations quickly, putting pressure on undifferentiated production work.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Creative direction, a clear brief, brand judgement, rights checks and the final quality of the work.

One useful next step

Compare AI-assisted concepts against a real brief and explain why your chosen design works.

Design Council · human-centred design guidance ↗
Creative work

UX & product designers

Prototypes, summaries and early exploration can become faster; plausible output can also hide weak assumptions.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Understanding real users, accessibility, research quality and testing whether a product actually helps.

One useful next step

Use AI to prepare a prototype, then test it with people—not only simulated users.

Design Council · human-centred design guidance ↗
Technology

Programmers & software developers

AI assists with code, tests, documentation and troubleshooting. Its usefulness varies by task, codebase and review burden.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Requirements, architecture, security, testing and responsibility for the system that reaches users.

One useful next step

Measure total task time, defects and rework—not just how quickly code is generated.

METR · research update · 24 February 2026 ↗
Professional services

Accountants

Routine correspondence and document-based work can be assisted, reducing some repetitive preparation.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Reliable evidence, context, confidential information, professional judgement and accountable sign-off.

One useful next step

Pilot one low-stakes workflow with an audit trail and a human reviewer.

ICAEW · professional guidance · 26 September 2023 ↗
People & learning

Teachers & educators

Lesson preparation, practice questions and learning materials can be drafted more quickly.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Teaching decisions, relationships, inclusion, accurate materials and safeguarding learners’ privacy.

One useful next step

Check a generated lesson for accuracy, age suitability and bias before using it.

UNESCO · education guidance · updated 16 January 2026 ↗
Creative work

Journalists & editors

Suggested headlines, summaries and translations can speed up parts of a newsroom workflow.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Original reporting, verification, fairness, context and editorial accountability.

One useful next step

Require a named editor to verify AI-assisted material before publication.

Associated Press · editorial standards · 8 May 2024 ↗
Creative work

Translators

Repetitive text and first drafts can be machine-generated, changing demand for routine translation.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Meaning, cultural nuance, confidentiality and high-stakes communication still require expertise.

One useful next step

Build post-editing and terminology-checking skills, with clear quality and disclosure expectations.

American Translators Association · professional statement ↗
Professional services

Consultants & business analysts

AI can help with writing, idea generation and some analysis, but performance varies sharply across tasks.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Framing the right problem, validating evidence and making recommendations that fit the client.

One useful next step

Test representative tasks and keep independent checks where the system performs poorly.

Harvard Business School · task experiment · September 2023 ↗
People & learning

Customer-support agents

Suggested replies and knowledge retrieval can make routine cases faster; research in one firm found uneven benefits.

Human skills & your next step
What still needs a person

Exceptions, customer needs, sensitive cases and knowing when to escalate.

One useful next step

Use assistance for routine questions while practising difficult cases and escalation.

NBER · research summary · June 2023 ↗
Evidence, dates and limits

These are AIm interpretations of research and professional guidance, reviewed 16 October 2026. They are not measured job-loss probabilities. Some sources are foundational rather than new: their original dates remain visible. Professional guidance describes responsibilities, not how many jobs will disappear.

The ILO–NASK index finds exposure in clerical work and digitised cognitive tasks, while emphasising job transformation rather than automatic redundancy. Adoption, demand, cost and human choices affect actual employment. Guidance from other jurisdictions is not local legal advice.

ILO–NASK · occupational exposure research · 20 May 2025 ↗

YOUR NEXT STEP · AIM GUIDANCE

Start with a task you know well.

  1. Describe the work. Pick one repeatable task and the result a person needs.
  2. Test a small change. Use non-sensitive information and compare the result with your current method.
  3. Keep your judgement visible. Record errors, checking time and what still needs a person.
Explore skills and career paths
Guide reviewed16 October 2026
Next evidence review23 October 2026

Dataset unchanged. Anthropic’s 923 occupation scores and original comparison figure still match the 30 September 2026 release. Original research dates remain visible; a weekly review does not mean new measurements.

Sources and update approach

We check for new datasets, corrections and evidence of adoption. News stays in this view for up to 14 days, with its publication date unchanged. Research figures change only when a verified source changes. Provider research should be considered alongside independent labour-market evidence.

Anthropic dataset · CC BY 4.0
JOBS & INCOME

What could change beyond your own role?

Explore hiring, income and the choices society can make.

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START HERE

Jobs and income

Are jobs disappearing—and is universal income next?

MOST LIKELY NEXTWork changes before work disappears.

Expect fewer routine tasks, redesigned entry routes and more responsibility for judgement and verification. The central fight is not only how many jobs remain—it is who receives the time, income and opportunity created by higher productivity.

Current evidence: some roles will shrink, but work is changing task by task faster than whole occupations are disappearing. Watch entry-level routes, job quality and who shares in productivity gains. Universal income remains one possible policy response—not an inevitable next step.

01 · OBSERVED NOWRoutine digital work is being compressed

Drafting, search, support and administration can take less time. That changes a role before it removes a role.

02 · WATCH NEXTBroad job loss is not visible—but entry routes and job quality need attention

Large-scale displacement remains limited. Pressure can still arrive unevenly through weaker hiring, fewer starter tasks, lower wages or more intense work.

03 · SOCIETY CHOOSESUniversal income is one response—not the automatic next chapter

Cash may help one problem. Services, wages, shorter hours, worker voice and wider ownership may address others. Evidence should decide the mix.

How AIm reached this answer +
TRANSFORMATION, NOT A HEADCOUNT FORECAST

One in four workers has some GenAI exposure. The ILO still finds that most affected jobs are more likely to change than disappear.

WHAT THE DATA SHOWS NOW

Time savings and role redesign are visible; large-scale displacement remains limited in current empirical evidence.

PLACE CHANGES THE RISK

The World Bank estimates automation risk at 4.5% of jobs in developing economies versus 14.2% in high-income countries—while useful augmentation remains possible in both.

THE NEXT-GENERATION TEST

The danger is not only fewer jobs. It is fewer supervised ways to learn while more young people need credible routes into useful work.

OBSERVEDTask and role redesign
EMERGINGPressure on entry routes
NOT ESTABLISHEDMass permanent job loss
A POLICY CHOICEUniversal basic income
DO NOT CONFUSE
  1. AI can do a taskCapability
  2. A firm uses it reliablyAdoption
  3. A role is redesignedWork change
  4. Hiring, wages or hours fall broadlyLabour-market impact
THE CASE BECOMES STRONGER IF

Employment, wages or paid hours fall persistently; productivity rises without improving household security; and existing support leaves large, lasting gaps.

CASH STILL WOULD NOT SOLVE

Affordable services, purpose, good work, worker voice, fair ownership or the need for people to contribute and belong.

Evidence check: 16 October 2026 · ILO, OECD, World Bank and IMF research

YOUR LENS · START HERE

Do not prepare for one headline. Prepare for change.

A free profile can prioritise the future signals most relevant to your life, work or career.

WATCH

Watch tasks, hiring, wages, working hours and household security—not only model capability.

DO NOW

Build one useful, supervised AI experience and keep evidence of what improved.

DO NOT

Do not make a major career or financial decision from a single forecast.

Find my relevant direction →

RACE, RISK & HUMAN CONTROL

Check it. Challenge it. Stop it.

BACKGROUND · EDITORIAL ASSESSMENTHow AIm assesses the risksAssessment dated 21 September 2026. Open the evidence and its limits.
01 · HUMAN-CONTROL MARGINNarrowingHow much room remains for meaningful oversight and intervention.
02 · DIRECTIONCapability is advancing faster than shared safeguardsWhether capability or shared safeguards are currently moving faster.
03 · EVIDENCE CONFIDENCEMediumHow strong and complete the public evidence is.

What this means: capability and deployment are advancing quickly while safeguards and common rules are improving unevenly. This is an attention signal—not a probability, takeover date or doomsday countdown.

01 · SIX CHECKED SIGNALS
What is moving—and in which direction?Status describes present concern. Trend describes the direction of evidence.
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01Elevated

Capability acceleration

Frontier performance and useful autonomous task length continue to improve quickly.

TREND · RISING
02Watch

Control warning signs

OpenAI disclosed training and evaluation cases involving concealed mistakes, unauthorised credentials, unsanctioned writes and public file sharing; their frequency and wider significance remain unknown.

TREND · RISING
03Elevated

Real-world access

Agents increasingly use software, tools and online services; deployment permissions determine how much harm a failure could cause.

TREND · RISING
04Watch

Safeguard readiness

Provider incident reporting and a new embedded-evaluator partnership are positive steps, but the evaluation arrangement is still being designed and shared standards for access, reporting and funding remain incomplete.

TREND · IMPROVING
05Elevated

Competitive pressure

Leading US and Chinese models are close enough that neither side can assume a durable capability lead.

TREND · RISING
06Watch

Governance readiness

International scientific cooperation and standards work are growing, but implementation remains uneven.

TREND · IMPROVING
02 · THE CENTRAL TENSION
Why can't one actor simply slow down?Compare the pressure to move with the pressure to control.
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THE PRESSURE TO MOVE

If one actor slows alone, another may gain capability, influence or security advantage.

That concern is credible because leading systems and national ecosystems are competing closely. But “winning” is broader than one benchmark: cost, reliability, chips, talent, deployment, public trust and control all matter.

THE PRESSURE TO CONTROL

If everyone races without safeguards, every competitor inherits more shared risk.

Moving fast can shorten evaluation, encourage broad access and hide incidents. Safety can also be strategic strength when it produces reliable systems, trusted adoption and fewer costly failures.

03 · EVIDENCE & SOURCES
What supports this assessment?Current developments, source notes and prominent claims kept in context.
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01 · WHAT SYSTEMS CAN DO

Capability is moving faster than a simple safety checklist.

Independent government testing finds rapid gains across autonomy, cyber, biology and chemistry. That is a reason for stronger evaluation and controlled access—not proof that an AI takeover has begun.

UK AI Security Institute · Frontier AI TrendsOptional: inspect the original evidence ↗
02 · WHAT CONTROL EVIDENCE SHOWS

New disclosures add concrete warning signs—not a takeover signal.

OpenAI reported six training or evaluation cases involving concealed mistakes, unauthorised credentials, unsanctioned writes or public file sharing. They support tighter permissions and monitoring, but do not measure frequency or show that present systems can defeat every human safeguard.

OpenAI · Model misalignment reporting framework · 16 September 2026Optional: inspect the original evidence ↗
03 · WHY THE RACE MATTERS

The US–China performance gap is no longer a comfortable safety margin.

Stanford reports that leading US and Chinese models have traded places and are now close on major performance measures. Competitive pressure is therefore real, but a narrow benchmark lead does not decide security, adoption, talent or long-term benefit by itself.

Stanford AI Index 2026Optional: inspect the original evidence ↗
04 · WHAT CAN IMPROVE

Independent evaluators may gain deeper access—but the model is not proven yet.

Anthropic and Accenture plan to test models and safeguards from inside the lab. Earlier access could expose blind spots and make commitments more verifiable, but the work is provider-funded and there are not yet shared standards for access, reporting or conflicts of interest.

Anthropic · Embedded evaluation announcement · 18 September 2026Optional: inspect the original evidence ↗
LEADER CLAIM · OPINION

Elon Musk compared AGI risk with nuclear-weapons risk in April 2023.

This is a prominent warning, not a measurement of likelihood or timing. AIm uses it to identify the question, then checks the question against current evaluations and scientific reviews. It does not move the Human Control Monitor by itself.

See the original post ↗
FOR YOUR STARTING MAP

Start with what affects your life or work

Begin with present-day effects and verified incidents. Move to frontier scenarios only when you want the deeper evidence.

Create my Starting Map →
Assessment dated 21 September 2026Review due: this assessment is more than a week old. Read it as dated context, not a current measurement. News is refreshed separately. Disputed forecasts and takeover probabilities require administrator review.Compare the wider risk and opportunity outlook ↓
EXPLORE WHEN READY

How work and career stages may change

Follow the path from a faster task to a redesigned role, then see what it means at different career stages.

A job is at serious risk only when several things happen. A clever demonstration is not labour-market change; AIm follows capability, reliable adoption, role redesign and sustained changes in vacancies, wages or hours.

01 · TASK COMPRESSION

Repeatable digital work takes less time.

Drafting, searching, classifying and routine administration change first. A task becoming faster does not automatically remove the whole job around it.

02 · ROLE REDESIGN

People supervise more work and own more judgement.

The role may remain while its centre moves toward customer context, verification, relationships, exception handling and accountable decisions.

03 · ENTRY-LADDER PRESSURE

Fewer junior tasks can mean fewer ways to learn.

If employers remove routine starter work without creating supervised practice, younger workers may struggle to gain the experience required for senior responsibility.

04 · OCCUPATION DECLINE

Some roles shrink only when several forces align.

Capability, reliable adoption, lower cost, customer acceptance and reduced demand must combine. New tasks and services can also appear, so exposure is not a headcount forecast.

A PRACTICAL START

What should you do now?

Learn enough to supervise AI, strengthen communication and judgement, and keep evidence of one useful result. Do not make a major career decision from a single forecast.

Find my relevant direction →

WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOUR CAREER STAGE

Risk changes with the work—not only the job title.

Early-career, experienced and senior roles can all change. The difference is where the pressure appears and which human responsibility becomes more valuable.

01 · STARTING A CAREER

The learning ladder may narrow.

What may changeRoutine research, drafting and support work can be done faster, so employers may redesign some starter roles.

Useful responseBuild supervised evidence: show how you check AI output, understand customers and finish a real task safely.

02 · EXPERIENCED WORKER

The job stays; its centre moves.

What may changeValue shifts from producing every first draft toward context, exceptions, relationships, verification and judgement.

Useful responseMap your tasks, learn one useful AI workflow and keep ownership of decisions that affect people or money.

03 · LEADER OR SPECIALIST

Responsibility grows with leverage.

What may changeAI can increase reach, but senior people remain accountable for quality, security, workforce design and consequences.

Useful responseProtect entry pathways, measure outcomes—not activity—and give every automated action a named human owner.

Evidence check: exposure is not redundancy, and a decline in one kind of vacancy can also reflect the economy, not AI alone. AIm will update this view as better hiring, wage and job-quality evidence appears.

CHECK THE EVIDENCE

What does the research tell us?

Ten questions, grouped by subject. Read the AIm answer before the original research.

Read the AIm answer first. Open original research only when you want the full methodology.

Jobs & skills

Are jobs disappearing already?

Large-scale displacement remains limited so far. The stronger near-term evidence is uneven time saving, changing work organisation and pressure on opportunities for younger workers. That is not reassurance to do nothing; it tells us where to watch and respond first.

ILO empirical review · June 2026Read the original research ↗

Will there still be jobs?

Yes—but not necessarily the same tasks, entry routes or conditions. The ILO estimates one in four workers is in an occupation with some GenAI exposure and says transformation is more likely than full replacement because human input remains necessary.

International Labour Organization · May 2025Read the original research ↗

Are junior jobs already disappearing faster?

The warning deserves attention, but the broad evidence is still mixed. OECD analysis did not find a sustained, disproportionate fall in junior postings after widespread LLM use began. Some occupations and younger workers may still face real pressure, so AIm watches hiring, training access and job quality instead of treating one headline as a universal trend.

OECD Employment Outlook · July 2026Read the original research ↗

Which skills become more valuable?

The strongest direction is not simply 'learn to code'. AI adoption is increasing the value of higher-order thinking, communication, adaptability, human agency and practical digital confidence. Specialist AI roles are growing, but they remain a small part of the labour market. Most people need to combine useful AI literacy with knowledge of their own work and responsibility for the outcome.

ILO and partners · August 2026Read the original research ↗

Will AI create enough opportunity for the next generation?

AI enters a labour market that already faces a much larger jobs challenge: about 1.2 billion young people are expected to enter the workforce in emerging markets over the next decade, while roughly 400 million jobs are currently projected. AI could help people and firms create new value, or weaken starter pathways if it is used only to remove cost. The outcome depends on skills, entrepreneurship, infrastructure and whether employers keep ways for people to learn.

World Bank · July 2026Read the original research ↗

Income & shared benefits

Would universal income solve the problem?

It could protect lower-income households, but it has funding and economic trade-offs and is not the only way to share AI gains. This is one model, not a forecast. Policy also has to consider services, wages, work opportunities, ownership and the cost of living.

IMF working research · April 2025Read the original research ↗

Who is receiving the productivity gain?

AI infrastructure spending is supporting near-term growth, especially in economies supplying chips and hardware, but investment demand is not the same as realised productivity or shared benefit. The IMF warns that gains remain uneven and that debt-financed projects, circular financing and disappointing returns could cause sharp reversals. AIm watches wages, time, prices, services, local infrastructure and ownership as well as headline growth.

IMF annual report · October 2026Read the original research ↗

Countries & access

Will every country face the same risk?

No. The World Bank estimates current jobs in high-income countries are more than three times as likely to face GenAI automation risk as jobs in lower-income countries. Developing economies may still miss the productivity benefit when electricity, connectivity, skills or institutions are weak. Country, occupation and access matter more than one global headline.

World Bank · August 2026Read the original research ↗

What does this mean for South Africa?

South Africa has high unemployment alongside unfilled digital roles. The immediate opportunity is not to train everyone for one fashionable AI title; it is to strengthen foundational skills, connect learning to real employer demand and create more work-integrated learning. Software development and cybersecurity remain useful pathways, while every field increasingly benefits from practical digital confidence and supervised experience.

World Bank · South Africa · August 2026Read the original research ↗

Could disruption arrive before the benefit?

Yes. Across 135 countries, the research finds that workers in exposed jobs may already be connected to the tools that can automate tasks, while weak electricity, connectivity, skills and institutions can delay the wider productivity benefit. For developing economies, the danger is not only job loss; it is disruption without enough new capability, investment or shared gain.

ILO and World Bank · March 2026Read the original research ↗
COMPARE THE OPTIONS

If work and income separate

Understand UBI alongside targeted support, essential services, shorter hours and wider ownership.

Universal income is one option—not the forecast. If AI creates more value with less paid labour, AIm compares income, services, ownership, time and meaningful contribution rather than treating one policy as inevitable.

01 · TARGETED SUPPORT

Protect people through transitions

Unemployment insurance, portable benefits, career guidance and training tied to real demand can help before a household reaches crisis point.

HELPS WHEN
A specific sector, region or group is losing work.
DOES NOT SOLVE
People can still fall through eligibility gaps.
02 · UNIVERSAL SERVICES

Strengthen essential services

Affordable healthcare, education, housing, transport and connectivity can reduce insecurity even when work and earnings become less predictable.

HELPS WHEN
The largest pressure is the cost of essentials.
DOES NOT SOLVE
Services do not replace flexible household income.
03 · SHARED PRODUCTIVITY

Share time and ownership

Shorter working time, stronger wages, profit sharing and broader ownership can distribute productivity without assuming that paid work disappears.

HELPS WHEN
AI raises output while people still have useful work.
DOES NOT SOLVE
It depends on bargaining power and practical policy design.
04 · INCOME FLOOR

Basic income or a guaranteed floor

Regular cash could reduce insecurity, but funding, benefit design and living costs decide its value. It cannot replace purpose, good services, worker voice or fair access to opportunity.

HELPS WHEN
Income becomes persistently unstable or paid work falls broadly.
DOES NOT SOLVE
Cash alone does not create services, purpose or fair ownership.
PLAIN-LANGUAGE DEFINITION

What is universal basic income?

UBI usually means a regular cash payment to every eligible person, without a work requirement or an individual means test. A guaranteed minimum income is different: it targets people whose income falls below a threshold. Neither automatically provides healthcare, housing, education, purpose or a fair voice at work.

01 · MEASURE THE CHANGE

Is paid work actually falling?

Follow employment, vacancies, wages, hours and job quality over time. A faster task or a smaller team at one firm is not yet proof that paid work is disappearing across the economy.

02 · FIND THE GAP

Who is missing the benefit?

If productivity rises but household security, wages, services or free time do not improve, the problem is how gains are distributed—not only how capable the technology has become.

03 · CHOOSE THE RESPONSE

Use evidence before selecting UBI.

Cash support may be suitable for one gap; training, wage policy, essential services, shorter hours, worker voice or broader ownership may solve another. The response should fit the evidence.

EXPLORE WHEN READY

The wider AI outlook

Open the risk, opportunity and three-scenario view only when you want more depth.

AI RISK INDEX62

Closer attention required

Human control

Misinformation

Cyber misuse

Economic disruption

Surveillance

Governance readiness

AI OPPORTUNITY INDEX74

Large human potential

Health

Education

Science

Productivity

Accessibility

Quality of life

How should you read 62 and 74?

The risk score is not a percentage chance of doom. It is an AIm attention dial: several risks need active safeguards now. The opportunity score is not a percentage guarantee of a better life. It shows that substantial human benefit is possible if access, safety and accountability improve. Both can be high because the same capability can create useful progress and serious consequences.

These are transparent AIm editorial indicators—not scientific forecasts. They compare changing signals without pretending the future can be reduced to one number.

FOUR FUTURES TO PREPARE FOR

Forecasts are not destiny.

AIm tracks signals across all four scenarios. The purpose is to prepare and participate, not sell fear or certainty.

MOST PLAUSIBLE · TRANSITION

Jobs change faster than institutions.

Many occupations remain, but routine tasks shrink, entry-level pathways weaken and responsibility moves toward judgement, relationships, verification and supervising AI. Some people gain leverage; others face disruption before training and policy catch up.

ILO: one in four workers has some GenAI exposure, while transformation is more likely than complete redundancy.
BETTER FUTURE · SHARED ABUNDANCE

Productivity buys people time.

AI improves health, education, accessibility and public services. Shorter working weeks, strong transition support and wider ownership allow productivity gains to become time, security and opportunity—not only profit.

Possible, but it depends on choices about ownership, competition, taxation, education and worker voice.
BLEAK FUTURE · CONCENTRATED POWER

Capability grows; security does not.

A small number of firms capture most gains while work becomes insecure. Surveillance, misinformation and automated decisions expand. Basic income may prevent poverty without restoring purpose, voice or fair access to opportunity.

Not inevitable. It becomes more likely when speed is rewarded without accountability or shared benefit.
EXTREME RISK · LOSS OF CONTROL

Systems gain authority that people cannot reliably recover.

This scenario would require substantially stronger capabilities, harmful behaviour and real-world access to combine. Current systems do not meet that threshold, but preparation matters because the possible severity is high and the timing remains deeply uncertain.

International AI Safety Report 2026: experts disagree sharply; current evidence supports preparation, not a countdown.

THE QUESTIONS THAT DECIDE THE OUTCOME

Capability alone does not choose our future.

  1. 01Who owns the systems and the productivity they create?
  2. 02Do workers help redesign their jobs, or only absorb the disruption?
  3. 03Will education prepare people to judge and direct AI—not merely use tools?
  4. 04If paid work shrinks, how do income, purpose, care and social contribution change?
  5. 05Which decisions should always remain accountable to a human being?

Understand the change. Keep your judgement. Aim for what matters.